Crime fears as cheap PCs head for Africa

Crime fears as cheap PCs head for Africa
Crime fears as cheap PCs head for Africa 

By Pete Warren
The Guardian
February 7 2008

What if the plans to spread low-cost One Laptop Per Child (OLPC) and 
Intel Classmate computers to the developing world work? What if in a few 
years there are hundreds of millions of them out there? Many might 
applaud. But among computer security experts, there's growing concern 
that those scheme could inadvertently lead to a huge increase in 
computer crime.

Initiatives such as the OLPC and the Classmate are intended to help 
bridge the digital divide. But security experts warn that there could be 
an unforeseen negative effect.

"There is the possibility of creating the largest botnet in the world," 
says Yuval Ben-Ithak of Finjan, a computer security company. This view 
is borne out by a recent report by F-Secure identifying Africa as one of 
the emerging cybercrime threats.

Phenomenal takeup

"Within the past few years, internet take-up in emerging markets has 
been phenomenal," says Mikko Hypponen, chief research officer at 
F-Secure. "The trend is expected to continue and spread into areas such 
as Africa, India and central America. People are developing 
sophisticated computer skills. But," he adds, "they have limited 
opportunities to profit from them legally. There will be a delay before 
legal systems catch up with developments in the IT sector. Computer 
criminals may also be able to escape the law more easily in countries 
which are undergoing serious political and security problems."

The case of Onel de Guzman, the student who wrote the 2000 Love Bug 
virus and who escaped prosecution because the Philippines, his home, had 
no offence with which to prosecute him, is a case in point. But Ivan 
Krstic, OLPC's director of security hardware, points to the choice of 
Linux as the operating system for the computers. "You cannot have one 
program loading from the internet that can then go to your [email] 
address book and then send out a spam message to everyone," Krstic 
explains. "The program can only work in its own area and has no 
functionality beyond that.

"For anything to be able to achieve that overall control, the attack 
would have to be written to the system kernel, and those are the hardest 
attacks to launch. Those vulnerabilities do exist, but they are patched 
very quickly. It would be difficult to get them to run bots." However, 
there is an option to run Windows XP on the machine - which means, 
concedes Krstic, "they can be attacked. All of the connotations of 
Windows security apply."

The Windows-based Intel Classmate also includes a nod at security. 
Countries buying it can opt for antivirus software, included for a 
higher price, but must negotiate that with AV companies themselves; and 
a hardware setting disables the laptop if it is not connected to an 
antivirus monitoring network for a certain period of time. This is to 
safeguard the machine from becoming part of a botnet, which can disable 
antivirus checking.

The bigger problem in the long term may be the developing world's choice 
of operating system. "Most of the machines we are shipping have Windows 
on them. That's the operating system most countries want," says Intel. 
It adds that teachers will receive training from Intel to monitor the 
network and will be able to see if changes have been made to the 
machines: "Some schools using the computers will have a teacher who is 
responsible for security on their networks, others will have an IT 
person." As a last resort the Classmate, like the OLPC XO, can be wiped 
clean and restored to its factory settings.

But while Windows has its problems, Linux may not offer much better 
protection, says Guillaume Lovet, a botnet expert for Fortinet. "The 
first botnets were Stacheldraht, Trinoo and TFN, and were built in 
Linux," says Lovet. He also dismisses claims that the low bandwidth and 
internet use in parts of the developing world - the World Economic 
Forum's 2007 Africa Competitiveness Report estimated that African 
internet use was just 3.4% of the world total - would act as a brake on 
the development of botnets.

"It doesn't take any bandwidth to control or make a botnet," Lovet says. 
"Aggregated bandwidth is what is important, and that would still be 
massive. You could still build a huge cyber-weapon with only a thousand 
of these machines."

For the botnet herders - the people who create and control botnets - 
there would also be kudos in staking a claim in a new area. "We have 
seen botnets involved in landgrab exercises in the past," says Greg Day, 
a security analyst for McAfee.

Just as alarming for Mark Sunner, chief technology officer of 
Messagelabs, which monitors email traffic on behalf of the government, 
is that the machines could be used as a recruiting ground for criminals.

Herd goats, or bots?

"You can imagine a whole swathe of internet boiler-rooms being created 
among people who can make more money from internet crime than herding 
goats," says Sunner, who points to the fact that Africa already has the 
highly technologically literate Nigerian 419 group, one of the oldest 
cyber-crime organisations.

The latter are very dangerous, says a former head of the UK's now 
disbanded West African Organised Crime Unit. "They are organised like a 
business. They are already building most of the bogus bank sites on the 
web. If you ship computers to Nigeria then a lot of them will inevitably 
make their way to 419. I mentioned this to someone who is still 
monitoring 419 and they said 'you might as well shut down the internet 
and go back to pen and ink'."

Sunner, meanwhile, notes the dangers that the machines represent to 
Africa's own emerging internet infrastructure. "There are a lot of 
viruses are already heading for Africa and China and the consequences of 
spam can be terrible if you do not have much bandwidth," he says.

Both Intel and OLPC point out that the laptops will often only have 
intermittent connectivity. That might lower the risk of getting infected
- or the chances of getting security upgrades.

But the bleak picture may be avoidable, says Rolf Roessing, a security 
expert for KPMG. "If we are to bring IT to Africa then it will not work 
unless we bring security with it. Computer security in the west grew 
because of a loss of innocence and there are still weaknesses in the 
developed world because of a lack of awareness. If you bring IT to 
developing countries then you have to develop awareness, too."

The rush for the developing market

The OLPC XO is a toughened, stripped-down laptop weighing 1.3kg that 
uses a 433Mhz AMD chip, 2GB flash drive and mesh Wi-Fi to create a local 
area network. The Linux-based OLPC, which is about to be tested by 
Microsoft for use with XP, can connect to the internet and has three USB 

Intel's Classmate is built with a 900Mhz Celeron M chip which can run 
Windows XP or Linux, uses Wi-Fi and has a 2GB Flash drive for the 
Windows variant and a 1GB Flash drive for the Linux version. The 1.4kg 
Classmate comes with two USB ports and costs between 115 and 150.

The Asus Eee PC range is less rugged. There are four 7in models weighing 
920g and sporting an Intel Celeron processor. Their Flash drives range 
from 2GB to 8GB, with between 512MB and 1GB of Ram. They have three 
high-speed USB 2.0 ports and Wi-Fi. All run Linux and can run Windows 
XP, and cost around 200.

Acer, Gigabyte, Lenovo and Everex have all announced low-cost laptops 
that can compete in this area.

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